Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.027302 0.031710 0.036564 0.042300 0.048888 0.056213 0.064970
2025-11-23 0.020714 0.026457 0.033362 0.042253 0.053378 0.066815 0.084254
2025-11-30 0.017335 0.024026 0.032697 0.044710 0.060864 0.081775 0.110831
2025-12-07 0.014178 0.021135 0.030771 0.045008 0.065402 0.093440 0.134769
2025-12-14 0.011403 0.018161 0.028105 0.043672 0.067269 0.101498 0.154660
2025-12-21 0.009543 0.016139 0.026388 0.043290 0.070239 0.111241 0.177939
2025-12-28 0.008655 0.015443 0.026516 0.045643 0.077532 0.128126 0.213836
2026-01-04 0.007721 0.014490 0.026048 0.046892 0.083116 0.142864 0.247942
2026-01-11 0.006545 0.012902 0.024247 0.045582 0.084172 0.150238 0.270664
2026-01-18 0.005701 0.011769 0.023057 0.045126 0.086556 0.159971 0.298289
2026-01-25 0.004901 0.010580 0.021576 0.043898 0.087324 0.166857 0.321500
2026-02-01 0.004279 0.009641 0.020424 0.043109 0.088754 0.174985 0.347690
2026-02-08 0.003814 0.008963 0.019715 0.043137 0.091849 0.186707 0.382242
2026-02-15 0.003310 0.008116 0.018537 0.042045 0.092566 0.193953 0.408993
2026-02-22 0.003119 0.007945 0.018765 0.043950 0.099680 0.214547 0.464414
2026-03-01 0.002807 0.007434 0.018172 0.043974 0.102789 0.227337 0.505266
2026-03-08 0.002438 0.006719 0.017007 0.042537 0.102505 0.233000 0.531768
2026-03-15 0.002180 0.006237 0.016317 0.042100 0.104399 0.243476 0.569632
2026-03-22 0.002099 0.006211 0.016727 0.044358 0.112797 0.269040 0.643228
2026-03-29 0.001968 0.006025 0.016710 0.045555 0.118810 0.289849 0.708199
2026-04-05 0.001736 0.005508 0.015768 0.044273 0.118616 0.296398 0.741068
2026-04-12 0.001566 0.005146 0.015178 0.043825 0.120443 0.307848 0.786557
2026-04-19 0.001387 0.004721 0.014352 0.042629 0.120198 0.314285 0.820649